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| 子女情感支持对老年人主观生存预期的影响—基于CHARLS数据的实证研究 |
| The Impact of Filial Emotional Support on the Subjective Survival Expectation of the Elderly: An Empirical Study Based on CHARLS Data |
| 投稿时间：2026-04-09 修订日期：2026-09-14 |
| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 主观生存预期 情感支持 老年人 CHARLS 中国 |
| 英文关键词: Subjective survival expectations Filial support Elderly CHARLS China |
| 基金项目: |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 目的 探讨子女情感支持对老年人主观生存预期的影响。方法 基于中国健康与养老追踪调查2020年数据，采用有序Logistic回归分析，以主观生存预期为因变量，子女情感支持（共同居住、实地探望、远程联络）为核心自变量，控制性别、年龄、城乡、教育程度等混杂因素的影响。结果 实地探望频率越高，老年人的主观生存预期越好(OR=1.007，95%CI：1.001~1.012)；远程联络频率与主观生存预期呈负相关(OR=0.994，95%CI：0.990~0.999)；共同居住时长对老年人主观生存预期的影响无统计学意义。结论 子女情感支持可显著影响老年人主观生存预期，其中实地探望具有正向影响，而远程联络或共同居住的效应可能受限于互动质量与代际关系复杂性。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Objective: To explore the impact of filial emotional support on the subjective survival expectations of the elderly. Methods: Based on the data from CHARLS 2020, ordered logistic regression analyses were performed. Subjective survival expectations were set as the dependent variable, while filial emotional support (including duration of co-residence with children, frequency of in-person visits, and frequency of remote contact) was treated as the main independent variable. Confounding factors such as gender, age, urban-rural status, and educational attainment were controlled for. Results: Duration of co-residence had no statistically significant effect on the elderly''s subjective survival expectations. A higher frequency of in-person visits was associated with better subjective survival expectations (OR=1.007, 95%CI: 1.001-1.012). Frequency of remote contact was negatively associated with subjective survival expectations (OR=0.994, 95%CI: 0.990-0.999). Conclusion: Filial emotional support significantly influences the subjective survival expectations of the elderly. In-person visits exert a positive effect, whereas the effects of remote contact and co-residence might be limited by interaction quality and the complexity of intergenerational relationships. |
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